Clik here to view.
An inch of snow is already causing headaches in Washington DC, here’s what...
As an icy appetizer for the big storm that's projected to hit Washington, DC this weekend, the city got a one-inch dusting the evening of Jan. 20.That mere inch of snow was enough to snarl traffic and...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Forecasters are shocked by how long they've seen winter storm Jonas coming
When a storm is coming meteorologists usually balance the results of many different computer models to create their forecasts.But this wasn't necessary for the blizzard about to hit the East Coast,...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Forecasting 'Pineapple Express' Torrential Storms Just Got Easier
Nature generally doesn't time its storms so well. A "Pineapple Express" weather system — so named because of its origins near the pineapple-rich Hawaiian Islands — dumped large amounts of rain on San...
View ArticleClik here to view.
MEGATRENDS: The 6 'Gamechangers' That Will Impact The Planet For Decades
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence is out with its annual forecast of what the world will look like in 2050.The report focuses on six "gamechanging" trends and events that will shape...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Weather Data Could Predict The Next Flu Epidemic
Only a 10 percent chance of showers today, but a 70 percent chance of flu next month.That's the kind of forecasting health scientists are trying to move toward, as they increasingly include weather...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Why Business Cycle Forecasting Does A Poor Job Of Predicting Deflationary...
Last week my colleague Jeff Miller from A Dash of Insight unveiled a long essay about business cycle forecasting in which he showcased the nearly 40 year track record of Bob Dieli's "Mr. Model." Dieli...
View ArticleClik here to view.
ECRI's 'Telltale' Chart Is Is Now Showing Something Completely Different
A little over a month ago, ECRI - who started forecasting an "imminent" recession a year and four months ago, saying it may even have already started in August or September 2011 - premiered what they...
View ArticleClik here to view.
MAULDIN: Economists Are Totally Clueless About The Economy
Economists Are (Still) Clueless The Revenge of the Minsky Moment Monaco, Cyprus, Croatia, Switzerland, and Las VegasEconomists set themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The Most Accurate Economists On Wall Street
Every December, we're bombarded with "best of" lists, those seemingly subjective takes on which songs and movies ruled 2013.But the best thing about the market is that it's completely objective — we...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Huge Experiment Finds Regular Folks Predict World Events Better Than CIA Agents
A pharmacist in her 60s named Elaine Rich routinely forecasts world events 30% more accurately than professional intelligence officers, NPR reports.Rich — who researches world affairs using nothing...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Jim O'Neill Warns Against Forecasting Oil Prices, And Then Forecasts Oil...
Jim O'Neill is famous for coining the acronym BRICs while he was an economist at Goldman Sachs.However, he actually wrote his Ph.D. thesis on OPEC and oil prices.In Project Syndicate Wednesday, he...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Someone built the 'world's biggest' hurricane simulator to help improve...
Miami (AFP) - The world's largest hurricane simulator is now complete and experts hope it will improve forecasters' ability to predict how strong a storm will get, which has been a key weak spot for...
View ArticleClik here to view.
12 of the worst economic predictions ever made by highly intelligent people
Economic forecasting is a difficult game — get it right, and you'll get not only plaudits, but potentially a lot of money too.But get it wrong, and you'll never be able to take it back. Your...
View ArticleClik here to view.
We're witnessing herding in the markets, and the consequences could be...
Wall Street's equity analysts are paid to forecast a lot of things. And the culmination of all of their research and analysis comes down to the bottom line: earnings forecasts.Because there are so many...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Janet Yellen just made one of the most surprising admissions you'll ever hear...
"I am describing the outlook that I see as most likely, but based on many years of making economic projections, I can assure you that any specific projection I write down will turn out to be wrong,...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The 13 fastest-growing economies in the world
China's crazy growth has been one of the biggest stories over the past several decades.But the Chinese economy certainly isn't the only one posting huge growth rates.We compiled a list of 13 countries...
View ArticleClik here to view.
How the best forecasters think about the world... and what everyone else is...
Statistician Nate Silver correctly predicted the outcome of every state in the 2012 presidential election. It instantly shot him to fame in a field most people associate with the most boring class they...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Interest rate forecasters are shockingly wrong almost all of the time (TLT, USD)
Most interest rate forecasters are wrong most of the time.Very wrong.The chart below is from Jeff Gundlach's presentation on Tuesday, comparing the US 10-year yield to median economist forecasts over...
View ArticleClik here to view.
These 8 charts prove economic forecasting doesn't work
Welcome to 2016. Tradition dictates that you spend the first few weeks or so reading forecasts for the coming year.I can say with certainty that most of them will be wrong. A smaller number may hit the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
An inch of snow is already causing headaches in Washington DC — here’s what...
As an icy appetizer for the big storm that's projected to hit Washington, DC this weekend, the city got a one-inch dusting the evening of Jan. 20.That mere inch of snow was enough to snarl traffic and...
View Article